I say zero.
I predicted his demise from the greatest player ever to normal status 3 years ago and as I said, the Thanksgiving Day Massacre only sped it up. The TDM will also slow down his recovery as his mental toughness and focus is what made him great more than anything else.
The second most important part of Tiger’s dominance in his short game…which is not getting the attention it got in years past because he is working on fixing his swing so much. I am familiar with this painful issue, as well. That is not my speculation, that is a comment out of his own mouth on ESPN last year. Now with a new swing guru, I suspect this lesser attention to the short game is just as pronounced, if not more so.
That will make Augusta tough to win at. Congressional and Royal St Georges are not places he has done that well before when he was on top.
I am not familiar with Johns Creek and neither is Tiger. He always does well at courses he knows and has done well at before. So he has no built in advantages or previous successes and he is in the middle of a swing change. In addition, he just gave away his biggest lead ever when he was trying to win for the first time in over a year.
Maybe Torrey Pines will be some good medicine for him, but right now, he has a ways to go before he is a threat to win any golf tournament in a romp, never mind a major.
Next week I am going to talk about someone I think will win their first major…Bubba Watson. Really, you say?
Really, I say.